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DISC Forecast Looks For Steady Growth

By: Herm Isenstein, DISC Corp. president

After three years of negative growth, electrical distributor industry sales finally registered positive growth in 2004. Led by the distributor served industrial market, DISC Corp., Orange, Conn., a leading provider of market forecast information for the electrical industry, expects total industry sales to top 6.5 percent this year and better than 8 percent next year.

Over the past 30 years, average annual growth has been 6.2 percent, so 2004 is right on target with the long-term historical growth rate. We’ve seen some fairly spectacular commodity price increases over the past year and that translated into a 5.8 percent price increase for the electrical industry overall. Taking account of the price effect this year, real physical volume — the best measure of changes in real resources — increased about 0.7 percent. (That’s over a full percentage point less than the long-term average). What’s so important about that? If you are adding or taking out resources from your business, you want to make sure those decisions are based on changes in physical volume, not on price changes.

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Industry Calendar

Jan. 21-24, 2009
NAED Western Region Conference:
Palm Desert, Calif.; National Association of Electrical Distributors (NAED),
(314) 991-9000,
www.naed.org

Feb. 25-28, 2009
NAED South-Central Region Conference:
Orlando, Fla.; NAED,
(314) 991-9000,
www.naed.org

March 10-14
Electronic House Expo Spring 2009:
Orlando, Fla.; EH Publishing,
508-663-1500,
www.naed.org

March 17-20
Electric West Conference:
Las Vegas, Penton Media Exhibitions,
203-358-3704,
www.electricshow.com

March 18-21
NEMRA Annual Conference:
Orlando, Fla.; National Electrical Manufacturers Representatives Association,
800-446-3672,
www.nemra.org

April 19-23
NAILD Convention:
Scottsdale, Ariz.; National Association of Independent Lighting Distributors (NAILD),
716-875-3670,
www.naild.org

April 20-23
A-D Electrical Supply Division Network Meeting:
Houston; Affiliated Distributors (A-D),
610-977-3100,
www.mya-d.net

April 29-May 1
2009 Equity/EDN Annual Meeting:
Dallas; Equity/EDN Electrical Associates;
800-373-1894,
www.equityedn.org

May 3-4
Lightfair International: New York; AMC Inc.;
204-220-2004, www.lightfair.com

May 4-7
Windpower 2009 Chicago: American Wind Energy Association (AWEA);
202-383-2512

May 16-20
NAED National Electrical Leadership Summit: Fort Lauderdale, Fla.; NAED;
888-791-2512; www.naed.org

June 28-July 1
Women in Industry Forum: Santa Fe, N.M.; NAED;
888-791-2512; www.naed.org

July 30-August 1
NAED LEAD Conference: Orlando, Fla.; NAED;
888-791-2512; www.naed.org

 
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