Housing Starts Slide to Record Low

Jan. 30, 2009
Indicating a continuing free-fall in the housing market, production of new single-family homes and permit issuance declined by double digits in December,

Indicating a continuing free-fall in the housing market, production of new single-family homes and permit issuance declined by double digits in December, falling to their lowest levels on record for the month, according to U.S. Commerce Department figures. In addition, total starts and single-family starts fell to record annual lows in 2008.

Total housing starts posted a 15.5 percent decline to 550,000 units in December, an all-time low. Meanwhile, starts of new single-family homes posted their eighth straight monthly decline, falling to an all-time low of 398,000 units. This was down 13.5 percent from the previous monthly low in November. Multifamily starts fell 20.4 percent in December to an annual rate of 152,000.

“Builders continue to be in a de facto moratorium on building in hopes of getting this inventory level under control,” said Sandy Dunn, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and a home builder from Point Pleasant, W.Va. “With builders doing their part, Congress and the Administration must act quickly to pass a stimulus package that will stop the bleeding in the housing market.”

“These dismal housing production numbers are in line with our builder surveys that show a record low in confidence in the housing market,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “Builders are addressing the supply issue. Washington policymakers must now act to boost the demand side of the equation by including a robust home buyer tax credit and mortgage rate buy down in the stimulus package that is moving through Congress.”

Overall permit issuance, which can be an indicator of future building activity, fell 10.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 549,000. Single-family permits declined 12.3 percent to a 363,000-unit rate while multifamily permits were down 7.5 percent to 186,000 units.

Housing starts were down in three out of four regions in December. The Midwest posted a decline of 24.5 percent, the South fell 22.2 percent, and the West dipped 2.2 percent, while the Northeast registered a 12.7 percent increase.

On an annual basis, year-end figures from the Commerce Department show that overall housing starts plunged to a record low of 904,000 units in 2008, down 33.3 percent from the previous year. Single-family starts were down 40.5 percent for the year to 622,000 units, while multifamily starts were off by 8.8 percent to 282,000 units. Overall permit issuance for new homes and apartments declined 36.2 percent to 893,000 units, with a 41.8 percent drop on the single-family side to 570,000 units and a 23 percent decline on the multifamily side to 323,000 units.

New Privately Owned Housing Units Started
(Thousands of units, seasonally adjusted annual rate) PeriodTotal1 Unit5 Units or moreNortheastMidwestSouthWestDecember '081 550 398 145 62 80 277 131 November '082 651 460 175 55 106 356 134 October '082 767 536 221 76 121 409 161 September '082 824 551 254 112 138 410 164 August '082 854 615 224 134 128 401 191 July '082 949 644 291 168 155 441 185 December '072 1,000 779 211 101 137 549 213 November '082 1,179 816 342 128 209 587 255 October '072 1,275 884 351 161 204 629 281 September '072 1,185 936 220 143 170 597 275 January '081 1,064 750 287 137 156 531 240 June '071 1,458 1,136 284 155 234 719 350 May '072 1,436 1,146 256 165 246 699 326 1-Preliminary; 2-Revised; Note: Detail may not add to total because of rounding. Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census