Housing Starts Slip Back in August After Five Months of Steady Upward Momentum

Sept. 25, 2009
Privately-owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 598,000, 1.5 percent above the revised July estimate of 589,000, but 29.6 percent below the August 2008 rate of 849,000

Privately-owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 598,000, 1.5 percent above the revised July estimate of 589,000, but 29.6 percent below the August 2008 rate of 849,000, according to U.S. Commerce Dept. data released on Sept. 17. Single-family housing starts in August were at a rate of 479,000, three percent below the revised July figure of 494,000.

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), Washingon, D.C., said because the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit is set to expire at the end of November, the window is now basically closed to start a new home that can be completed in time for purchasers to take advantage of that credit. “Builders are pulling back on new construction at this time,” said Joe Robson, NAHB’s chairman and a home builder from Tulsa, Okla. “Clearly, Congress must act now to extend the tax credit if we are to keep the market moving toward a recovery.”

“The tax credit has been helping buoy demand for new homes since its passage in February, but builders are concerned about what happens after it is gone,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “On top of the credit’s impending expiration, builders continue to grapple with a severe lack of credit for housing production loans and inappropriately low appraisals that are tied to the use of distressed properties as comps — both of which blunted the tax credit’s positive effect. Together, these three challenges threaten to completely stifle the upward momentum we’ve seen in the first half of 2009.”

NAHB is calling on Congress to extend the first-time home buyer tax credit for another year and to offer it to all income-eligible buyers of primary residences. In addition, NAHB is urging Congress to help eliminate the credit crunch, correct faulty appraisal practices and expand Net Operating Loss tax provisions that can help avoid more layoffs.

A three-percent decline in single-family housing starts for August essentially erased the previous month’s gain, bringing production back to a 479,000-unit annual rate. Single-family permits also edged downward in August by two-tenths of a percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 462,000 units, ending what had been a four-month run of gains. Meanwhile, multi-family housing starts, which tend to display greater volatility on a month-to-month basis, rose 25.3 percent from an extremely low level in the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 119,000. Multi-family permit issuance rose 16 percent from an all-time low in July to a 117,000-unit rate.

Regionally, combined single- and multi-family housing starts were mixed, with gains of 23.8 percent and 0.9 percent reported in the Northeast and Midwest, respectively; a 2.4 percent decline registered in the South; and no change reported in the West. Combined permits were also mixed, with gains of 14.3 percent and 7.2 percent recorded in the Northeast and South, respectively, and declines of 5.7 percent and 5.6 percent registered in the Midwest and West, respectively.