PMI Rises To 62 Percent

Aug. 6, 2004
Economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew in July for the 14th consecutive month, while the overall economy grew for the 33rd consecutive month, according to the latest survey of purchasing managers by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Tempe, Ariz.

Economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew in July for the 14th consecutive month, while the overall economy grew for the 33rd consecutive month, according to the latest survey of purchasing managers by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Tempe, Ariz. ISM’s Purchasing Managers Index is 62 percent in July, an increase of 0.9 percentage point when compared to 61.1 percent in June.

“The manufacturing sector continues to grow at a rapid rate as the PMI has now been above 60 percent for nine consecutive months. This is the longest period of growth above 60 percent since the 12-month period of July 1972 through June 1973, when the index was over 60 percent each month and reached a high of 72.1 percent in January 1973. The growth of new orders and production accelerated during the month, adding strength to the index. Employment grew at a slower rate, while the Inventories Index declined,” said Norbert J. Ore, chair of the Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Business Survey Committee and group director, strategic sourcing and procurement, Georgia Pacific Corp.

Comments from respondents indicate that many consider their business to be “strong” with a number indicating significant year-over-year improvement. Others continue to indicate only minor improvement. Energy prices remain a major concern for purchasers, as prices are at or near record highs. It appears that the steel supply situation has imporved as there are fewer mentions of shortages.

“July represents a good start for the third quarter, and the outlook continues to be very encouraging as New Orders and Production accelerated during the month,” said Ore.

In June, 18 industries reported growth. These include industrial and commercial equipment, electronic components and equipment, fabricated metals, transportation and equipment.

The commodities listed in short supply include electronic components, stainless steel, and steel.